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Bitcoin Rally Expected Once Price Breaks $69,500 – FOMO Likely?

Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment after enduring weeks of aggressive corrections and underwhelming price action. Currently testing the crucial psychological level at $60,000, the cryptocurrency faces a critical phase where investor sentiment is shifting from fear to cautious optimism. 

This transition comes as many anticipate a potential rally in the coming weeks. Top macro and on-chain analysts, including experts from CryptoQuant, have highlighted that if Bitcoin can break through the significant resistance at $69,500, it may trigger a substantial move toward new highs. 

The data suggests that such a breakout could ignite a bullish uptrend, pushing Bitcoin into previously uncharted territory. This critical price point, therefore, could be the key to determining direction in the near term. Investors and market watchers are keenly observing this key level, as it holds the potential to reshape BTC’s future trajectory.

Bitcoin Bull Market: The Path To New ATH

Bitcoin has experienced a notable surge of over 15% since reaching local lows on September 6, leading to a significant shift in investor sentiment. This upward movement has sparked renewed discussions among analysts and traders about the potential for a bull run. 

The growing optimism is fueled by insights from prominent on-chain analyst Axel Adler from CryptoQuant. Adler recently shared revealing data on X, indicating that BTC’s bull rally could commence once the price surpasses $69,500. According to Adler, this key level will likely trigger a surge of Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) in the market as previous profit-takers rush back into BTC, driven by the fear of missing out on potential gains.

Bitcoin Annual Quintile Trends Chart Reveals $69.5K turning point.
BTC Annual Quintile Trends Chart Reveals $69.5K turning point. | Source: Axel Adler CryptoQuant chart on X

Adler’s analysis highlights the BTC Annual Quantile Trends chart, a valuable tool for identifying bullish phases in the Bitcoin market. This chart suggests that breaking through the $69,500 threshold, which lies above the 75% quintile, will be crucial for initiating the next bullish phase. Historically, when Bitcoin begins a rally, it tends to be rapid and volatile, often causing a shakeout among skeptical investors.

If Bitcoin successfully breaches the $69,500 level, as crypto enthusiasts anticipate, it could signal the start of a significant bull run. The market’s response to this potential breakout will likely set the stage for Bitcoin’s price trajectory and overall market sentiment in the near term.

BTC Technical Levels

Bitcoin is trading at $60,252 after a streak of positive sentiment and rising price action. The recent surge has pushed BTC above the critical 4-hour 200 exponential moving average (EMA) at $58,800, a level that had acted as resistance since early August.

BTC trading above the 4H 200 EMA. | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC trading above the 4H 200 EMA. | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Holding above $60,000, Bitcoin now flirts with higher prices, suggesting the market may be positioning itself for substantial gains in the coming months. This shift in momentum could be the beginning of a stronger uptrend if Bitcoin continues to consolidate above $60,000.

However, if BTC fails to maintain support at this level and drops below the 4H 200 EMA, a deeper correction is likely. The next significant support level would be around $55,500, where demand could stabilize the price or potentially lower if selling pressure intensifies. The upcoming days will be pivotal in determining whether BTC will continue its upward trajectory or face a temporary pullback as traders watch for key levels to hold or break.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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