The NZDUSD has made a significant technical move today, climbing above the 200-day moving average for the first time since October 9, 2024. This long-term moving average, currently sitting at 0.5888, had held resistance on a couple of tests yesterday before breaking above the in the Asian Pacific session today:
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Earlier today, price surged above the 200-day MA, a key bullish signal.
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The rally followed a breakout above the 100-day MA and a sharp upside momentum shift last week. The 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart, the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart and that 100 day MA were all broken near the same level.
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The pair is now in the process of retesting the 200-day MA from above — a critical zone to determine whether buyers can maintain control.
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A hold above 0.5888 keeps the bullish bias alive and opens the door to further upside toward the 0.5930 level and beyond.
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A move back below the 200-day MA would be a setback and could shift momentum back to sellers
Key levels:
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Support: 0.5888 (200-day MA), 0.5852 High from 2-weeks ago. 0.5824 (broken 38.2% retracement of the move down from September 2024
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Resistance: 0.5930 (50% retracement), 0.5970 to 0.5983 (swing area going back in time) 0.6000 (natural resistance)
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.