Bullish above: 3414.1
Bearish below: 3409.7
Current price: 3408.5
Primary bias at this moment: Bearish
Gold Futures Performance Snapshot
Gold’s consistent long-term strength — up more than 35% over the past year — provides important context for traders analyzing today’s short-term moves.
Partial Profit Targets for Gold Bearish Traders Today (Once Price Crosses Below 3409.7)
3406.7 – one tick above today’s Value Area Low
3405.7 – aligned with today’s VWAP deviation
3403.2 – next VWAP deviation support
3397.8 – just above the August 22 Value Area Low and Friday’s VWAP
(Swing trader extensions)
3388.8 – above the August 18 Value Area High
3377.5 – above the August 22 Value Area Low
Partial Profit Targets for Gold Bulls Traders Today (If Price Breaks Above 3414.1)
3416.3 – just under Friday’s Point of Control
3417.9 – in line with today’s 3rd upper VWAP deviation
3422.9 – another key level just under Friday’s POC
(Swing trader extensions)
3435.9 – extended VWAP deviation from Friday
3456.1 – broader standard deviation zone
Analysis of Gold Futures Today: Market Context & Directional Bias
At the time of this gold futures analysis today, price sits at 3408.5, slightly under the bearish threshold of 3409.7. That places the market in bearish mode according to the tradeCompass methodology.
If bearish momentum holds, gold futures traders can expect intraday targets near 3406.7 and 3405.7. For bullish traders, price must reclaim 3414.1 to flip sentiment and aim for higher resistance levels.
This close clustering of thresholds and targets suggests a condensed gold trading range today, where sharp moves may occur once either side gains control.
Educational Segment: Why Value Area, VWAP, and Deviations Matter in Gold Trading
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Value Area: The zone where 70% of trading volume occurs. The Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL) help define likely support and resistance.
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VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): Viewed as “fair value,” it reflects the true balance of price and traded volume. Gold futures above VWAP indicate buyer dominance, below it seller control.
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Standard Deviations of VWAP: These act like volatility bands. They expand in trending gold markets and contract in consolidations, often marking turning points intraday.
By focusing on these levels, tradeCompass creates an objective trading map for gold futures rather than relying on guesswork.
tradeCompass Methodology & Key Principles for Gold Traders
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One trade per direction per session.
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Stops always placed logically, never beyond the opposite threshold.
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Move stops to entry once the second profit target is reached.
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Confirmation style is flexible: some traders wait for two candle closes above/below thresholds, others prefer momentum triggers.
This disciplined approach helps gold traders protect capital and stay aligned with market structure.
Conclusion: Gold Price Prediction Today
The gold technical analysis today shows a bearish bias below 3409.7, with first targets at 3406.7 and 3405.7. Bulls must reclaim 3414.1 to shift the market higher. Swing traders may watch for extensions toward 3377.5 on the downside or 3456.1 on the upside.
Despite the intraday bearish lean, gold remains one of the best-performing assets in 2025 — up 29.1% year-to-date and 35.2% over one year — keeping it firmly on the radar for both traders and long-term investors.
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Trade with discipline, manage risk carefully, and let tradeCompass serve as your daily gold futures map.
