Ethereum Futures technical evaluation for right this moment with commerceCompass at investingLive.com

Summary Box for Ethereum Futures Today and This Week

Bullish above: 3,968

Bearish below: 3,968

Orientation: Swing trade

Bias: Bullish while above 3,968

Partial Profit Targets: 4,130; 4,295; 4,359; 4,422; 4,700; 5,000

Ethereum Market Context and Directional Bias

After Justin from our investingLive.com team reported how Bitcoin slumped to fresh four-month lows in his article Bitcoin slumps to fresh four-month lows as technical trouble continues to brew and even before that, I published a clear guide on how to join the Bitcoin short as bears regained control.

Since then, the crypto market has been rebounding sharply, with both Bitcoin and Ethereum futures showing strong recoveries. Today’s Ethereum technical analysis with tradeCompass focuses on the swing trade perspective — larger moves and broader setups beyond intraday fluctuations — helping traders and investors decide when Ethereum may regain upward momentum or when caution is warranted.

At the time of writing, Ethereum futures (ETH1!) trade near 4,039 USD, holding above today’s VWAP at 4,026 and the 4,020 Point of Control (POC) from Thursday, October 16.

The threshold between bullish and bearish control sits at 3,968.

• Sustained closes above 3,968 indicate that buyers maintain control, keeping the door open for more upside.

• A close below 3,968 flips the map bearish, signaling potential retracement or deeper consolidation.

For Ethereum traders and crypto investors, this threshold acts as a clear line in the sand to assess whether to stay long, reduce exposure, or even hedge.

Ethereum Technical Analysis and Key TradeCompass Levels

Bullish Path (above 3,968):

If the bullish structure remains intact, the following levels act as potential profit-taking or resistance zones on the way up:

• 4,130 – Derived from the September 30 Value Area Low; a first scaling level.

• 4,295 – Next high-volume area where order flow tends to balance.

• 4,359 – Short-term supply zone.

• 4,422 – Upper boundary from a previous value area; a second partial-profit point.

• 4,700 – Psychological round number with strong liquidity potential.

• 5,000 – Longer-term bullish target aligned with Ethereum’s all-time highs.

Bearish Path (below 3,968):

If Ethereum closes and sustains below this pivot, downside levels to monitor include:

These are early bearish targets and reference points for traders who may prefer counter-trend opportunities. Future tradeCompass updates will provide more refined downside projections if price confirms the bearish case.

Educational Corner: VWAP and POC for Ethereum Traders

The VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) represents the average price weighted by traded volume, helping traders understand where most participants have positioned themselves. The Point of Control (POC) marks the single price level with the highest traded volume within the session or volume profile.

When Ethereum futures trade above both VWAP and POC, it usually reflects a buyer-controlled market, as participants are willing to transact at higher prices. When price remains below them, sellers are likely setting the tone.

Ethereum Price Prediction Outlook

From a broader swing perspective, the Ethereum price prediction remains bullish while price holds above 3,968.

If momentum continues and the $4,130 zone breaks with sustained volume, price may aim for the $4,295–$4,359 region as the next liquidity zone.

Beyond that, the $4,700 and $5,000 levels remain potential long-term targets.

However, any confirmed breakdown below 3,968 invalidates the bullish thesis and suggests a new bearish phase could develop.

tradeCompass Risk and Stop Management Principles

TradeCompass methodology emphasizes discipline and consistency:

• Stop placement: Always just beyond your activation side with a small buffer. Never place a stop beyond the opposite threshold.

• Partial profits: Take incremental gains at each target to lock in progress.

• Runner logic: After the second profit target (TP2) is reached, move the stop to entry (breakeven) to protect gains.

This approach helps traders capture larger swings while reducing risk exposure during volatility.

How to Use the Compass for Ethereum Trading

Treat the 3,968 level as your pivot for decision-making:

• If price retests it and fails to sustain above, consider a short setup targeting the first bearish zones.

• If price bounces and holds above, that’s confirmation that bulls remain in control.

Swing traders can use this compass to adjust position size, take partial profits, or hedge based on how Ethereum reacts around this pivotal line.

My Ethereum Price Prediction is Maintained

I continue to believe that Ethereum retains long-term upside potential and that the $5,000 mark remains in sight. While timing is uncertain, the underlying technical structure still favors a continuation higher once consolidation phases resolve.

For now, staying patient above 3,968 with disciplined trade management is the rational play.

Professional Disclaimer

This content is a decision-support tool, not investment advice. Trading involves risk, and you should perform your own due diligence before entering any position.