Sometimes it’s immediately clear how a potential transfer makes sense for the player, the club buying, and the club selling.
Then there’s potential deals like Toronto FC’s reported $18 million offer to Norwich City for American World Cup longshot Josh Sargent, where it’s hard to understand how anyone comes out better off.
Norwich at least seem to be aware they don’t have much to gain.
The Canaries are currently locked in a relegation fight at the bottom of the EFL Championship, sitting just beneath the line in 22nd, but still with 20 games left to try and climb to safety. Sargent’s seven league goals represent a quarter of the Canaries’ total output. And Toronto’s reported offer is $5 million shy of where transfer analysis website Transfermarkt places Sargent’s current value.
Additionally, with the MLS primary window extending all the way until late April, there’s no rush to get a deal done now. If the Canaries’ struggles continue, they could sell in the spring once relegation becomes more certain. Even better, they could wait for the summer, when Toronto — if still interested — would be competing with other interested suitors doing their preseason business for the 2026–27 European season.
However, that timeline wouldn’t allow Sargent to make a splash in MLS in time to convince United States men’s national team manager Mauricio Pochettino to give him one last look in March.
Maybe that’s why Sargent sat out Norwich City’s FA Cup match this past weekend in an apparent maneuver to speed up negotiations.
If so, it’s probably ill-advised urgency. A rebuilding Toronto side managed by Robin Fraser is hardly a better platform for the 25-year-old to build his unlikely World Cup case after scoring only five times in 29 international appearances.
Fraser has managed in portions of five previous MLS seasons. Only twice in those seasons has a player scored in double-digit goals.
And even after Toronto paid Colorado $8 million last summer in a cash trade for Djordje Mihailovic, the Reds have Transfermarkt’s second-lowest squad value, reflecting a roster that remains far from complete. It’s hard to imagine that environment being much better for the service-reliant Sargent to prove his USMNT worth.
It’s even harder to rationalize that this would be the right move for Toronto’s long-term future.
The history of MLS and its best teams suggests it’s far better to spend big on dual-threat players who create chances as often as they finish them. Think Luciano Acosta, Lionel Messi, Riqui Puig, Evander, and so on.
By contrast, expensive center forwards rarely prove transformational to a team’s fortunes as a team centerpiece. Even Zlatan Ibrahimovic failed to significantly improve the LA Galaxy’s competitive outcomes during his two seasons in Southern California.
Toronto signed their dual threat in Mihailovic and have lots of other needs across their formation. Spending double Mihailovic’s fee on a target man feels destined to lead to yet another unbalanced roster in the True North, just like the squad that featured Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardeschi for portions of four seasons and never reached the playoffs.
Of course, none of that matters if Toronto’s decision makers and Sargent are keen on each other. In football as in life, mutual infatuation can lead to illogical actions. And Norwich may have no choice but to move out of the way.
