There aren’t any major expiries to take note of on the day, with the full list seen below.
The dollar continues to go from strength to strength, with EUR/USD in particular falling off to its lowest since the summer of 2025. The late July and early August lows from then at 1.1400 will be key now but we might be eyeing a further breakdown towards 1.1200 next should the Middle East situation stay as it is.
As things stand, the main driver of trading sentiment among major currencies is still the US-Iran conflict. In that regard, oil prices remain the most critical factor as it continues to be the tail that is wagging the dog.
In that regard, WTI crude oil is bordering on $100 again now as the Strait of Hormuz remains in de facto closure. Iran has also grown more bold over the weekend in escalating military actions across the region. And that is keeping tensions as high as ever and underpinning oil prices, as the conflict looks set to be prolonged.
US president Trump has tried to get allies on board to help but that does not seem feasible whatsoever. From earlier: Trump demands allies to help on Strait of Hormuz but here’s why it won’t work
As such, we’re very much continuing from where we left off at the end of last week.
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