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US March Budget deficit for March -$164.00 billion versus -$156.75 billion estimate

  • Prior month -$308 billion
  • Federal budget deficit $164 billion versus $156.75 billion estimate. A year ago, the deficit was $161 billion

Details:

  • Fiscal 2026 year-to-date deficit $1.169 trillion versus $1.307 trillion in 2025. Down 11% YoY
  • March Net customs receipts and $22.16 billion
  • Budget outlays $549 billion versus $528 billion in March 2025
  • Receipt $385 billion, record for month of March, versus $368 billion in March 2025.
  • Corporate refunds up 77%
  • individual refunds up 9%
  • Defense spending 3% higher compared to one year ago

Some additional looks:

  • War-related outlays, such as for replenishing weapons ​inventories, would come in later months.
  • Customs duty ​collections softened in the month following the U.S. Supreme ‌Court’s ⁠annulment of President Donald Trump’s broadest global tariffs imposed under an emergency law.
  • Customs receipts totaled $22.2 billion in March, down from $26.6 billion in February and monthly ​totals in ​the low $30 ⁠billion range late last year, but up from $8.2 billion in March 2025.
  • After accounting for calendar-related ⁠adjustments ​of benefit payments, the March ​deficit would have been $250 billion, up $9 billion or 4% from ​March 2025.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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