The pair is down over 90 pips in a drop back to just below the 157.00 level. The timing seems to fit, with it being a Japanese market holiday and the last two attempts also came as we got into the period between Asia to the start of European trading.
That said, the previous attempts seem to came closer to when the pair moved above the 157.00 mark. This time around, USD/JPY had been running higher to near 158.00 before being struck down now.
USD/JPY 5-minute chart
USD/JPY hourly chart
The question then becomes









