Headlines:
Markets:
- WTI crude up 3.6% to $90.55
- European indices mostly little changed
- S&P 500 futures up 0.3%
- USD and GBP lead, NZD lags on the day
- US 10-year yields up 0.2 bps to 4.46%
- Gold down 0.6% to $4,506
- Bitcoin down 1.3% to $72,614
It’s a brand new week but it feels like we are stuck in the same old loop once again.
The US and Iran are continuing to sort out terms for a deal to be struck, with both sides unable to find common ground on key issues still.
Iran continues to point the finger at the US in saying that there remains a violation with the attacks in Lebanon and the US naval blockade still not being lifted. Officials also continue to lambast the US on frequent changes to the framework agreement terms in the past week.
Meanwhile, the US continues to want Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and offer some baseline promises on nuclear arrangements. That said, Trump’s latest communique even called to “sit back and relax”. That suggests there is no rush to force an agreement for now.
As we get into the new week, oil prices are pushing up again with WTI crude moving back above $90 to start the week. Prices are up 3.6% to $90.55, with optimism on a deal being pushed back a bit.
However, equities continue to hold out hope for the most part. Major indices in Europe are little changed but US futures are continuing to nudge higher to start the new week/month. S&P 500 futures are up 0.3% with Dow futures up 0.5% while Nasdaq futures are also up 0.3% on the day.
In the major currencies space, the dollar is lightly changed and keeping just a little higher so far today. EUR/USD is down 0.1% to 1.1645 with USD/JPY continuing to hover near intervention strike range at 159.50. Meanwhile, USD/CAD is up 0.2% to 1.3830 and AUD/USD down 0.1% to 0.7175 currently.
In other markets, bond yields are lightly changed with 10-year Treasury yields sitting at 4.46%. Meanwhile, gold is down 0.6% to $4,506 as the push and pull continues with traders being taken for a ride in this whole deal or no deal saga.
