Athletico Paranaense take on Atletico MG in a Campeonato Brasileiro Série A clash at the Estádio Mário Celso Petraglia on Thursday. These sides are involved in the battle for the first four places in the standings, as the top-four teams qualify for the Copa Libertadores group stage.
Athletico Paranaense are third in the Brazilian top-flight standings, with 49 points from 28 matches.
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There is still a chance for them to win the league, but Flamengo are top with 60 points, and the 11-point gap may already put them out of Athletico’s reach with so few games left.
Odair Hellmann’s team are likely focused on ensuring that they finish in the top four places for Copa Libertadores qualification, and with fifth-placed Bahia only three points below them, that is not yet guaranteed.
Furacão won their most recent Campeonato Brasileiro Série A match 2-1 against Bahia at Arena da Baixada on 21 September.
Athletico took the lead through Lucas Esquivel in the 16th minute before Erick Pulga equalized for Bahia. Jorge Rivaldo was on hand in the second half to secure the three points for the home side with a goal in the 69th minute.
Meanwhile, Atletico Mineiro are in seventh place with 43 points from 28 games, five points away from the Copa Libertadores group stage spots, and if they were to end in their current position, they would qualify for the Copa Sudamericana group stages.
Galo will feel confident that they can still make up the five points that separate them from a place in the top-tier South American club competition, but much will depend on their ability to get a positive result or two from the remaining away games, such as this one.
Their most recent encounter saw them defeat RB Bragantino 1-0 at the Arena MRV on Saturday. Bernard was on target for Eduardo Dominguez’s team with an 18th-minute winner.
Athletico Paranaense vs Atletico MG head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Atletico Mineiro have won 28 of the 60 matches they have played against Athletico Paranaense, while there have been seven draws in this fixture.
- Athletico Paranaense have beaten Atletico MG on 25 occasions, most recently in November 2024, when they won 1-0 at home.
- Earlier this season in Serie A, Atletico MG beat Athletico Paranaense 2-1 at MRV Arena in April.
- Victor Hugo and Gustavo Scarpa scored the goals for Atletico Mineiro, while Paranaense’s goal came via the head of Julimar.
Athletico Paranaense vs Atletico MG prediction
In a match that is likely to be cagey and highly contested, Athletico Paranaense are expected to control possession, while Atlético Mineiro will look to exploit space on the counterattack.
We expect Athletico Paranaense to secure a narrow victory at home.
Prediction: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Atletico MG
Athletico Paranaense vs Atletico MG betting tips
Tip 1: Athletico Paranaense to win
Tip 2: Both teams to score
Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
Edited by Peter Pedroncelli
