ismagilov/iStock via Getty Images
Dear Clients and Friends
For the quarter ending June 30, 2026, the Ariel Focused Value Composite’s +2.06% gross of fees (+1.96% net of fees) return trailed its primary benchmark, the Russell 1000 Value Index, which gained +13.87%, and similarly lagged the broader market as measured by the S&P 500 which rose +15.20%. The last three months represented one of our most difficult quarters relative to indices fueled by a powerful, technology-led rally.
An Upside-Down Quarter
During the period, inflation soared to its highest level in three years—4.2%—as geopolitical tensions continued to escalate.¹ In an environment of rising prices and armed conflict, hard assets like energy, materials, defense and gold normally surge. Instead, these areas lagged as the high-multiple chipmakers at the center of the artificial-intelligence trade dominated.
To this point, information technology contributed +10.46 percentage points of the S&P 500’s +15.20% return.² The tech shares that make up 18.0% of the Russell 1000 Value Index jumped +69.1% during the quarter. In just three short months, Micron Technology (MU), Inc. and Intel Corporation (INTC) shares skyrocketed +242% and +216% respectively as market sentiment shifted from AI “adopters” to AI “enablers.”³
Ariel Focused Value is a concentrated, all-cap strategy with just 1.6% of its portfolio held in a single technology name—Oracle Corporation (ORCL). The significant difference in tech exposure between our portfolio and its benchmarks explains our performance shortfall. We do not own these names—and price is only part of the reason. Semiconductors are deeply cyclical, capital-intensive businesses—brilliant in a boom, brutal in the bust that follows. Today’s valuations suggest that this cycle has changed. History says otherwise.
Notwithstanding the tech surge, we would have expected our more defensive positioning to serve our portfolio well given the war-and-inflation backdrop. And yet, defense manufacturer Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) fell -15.1%; fertilizer producer Mosaic Company (MOS) dropped -16.1%; and even Prestige Consumer Healthcare (PBH), Inc. (PBH), a defensive consumer-health business, plummeted -20.2%. The very companies built to perform when prices rise and conflict spreads were badly battered.
On Energy
While Technology was the benchmark’s best performing sector during the quarter, Energy was the worst. As tensions eased in mid-June, oil gave back nearly all of its earlier gains, peaking at $124 a barrel before plummeting to $73 by quarter-end.⁴ Our energy holdings fell -17%—with APA Corporation (APA) and Chevron Corporation (CVX) among the largest detractors. And yet, these companies own irreplaceable, long-lived, low-obsolescence assets. We purchased their shares at a time of falling exploration budgets despite rising demand. We expect our patience to be rewarded in time.
What Worked
Our best performers in the quarter delivered results for reasons specific to their own operations rather than global macro trends. Generac (GNRC) Holdings, Inc. (GNRC), a maker of backup power equipment, surged +49.9% as data center related demand strengthened. Madison Square Garden Sports Corporation (MSGS), owner of the New York Knicks and Rangers, rose +25.0%, and Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corporation (MSGE), owner of the irreplaceable arena and its live-events business, gained +37.3%. Affiliated Managers Group (AMG), Inc. (AMG) climbed +22.3% on growing recognition of its higher-margin alternative-asset managers. PHINIA (PHIN), Inc. (PHIN), a fuel-systems and aftermarket auto-parts supplier, advanced +20.8%. Mohawk Industries (MHK), Inc. (MHK), the flooring maker, gained +23.2% and BorgWarner (BWA), Inc. (BWA), a powertrain manufacturer, rose +22.7%. All the aforementioned names trade at modest valuations—which offers downside protection.
The Case for Looking Different
A very large portion of the Russell 1000 Value Index has de facto become an AI-infrastructure investment—value in name but increasingly concentrated in the same momentum trade. For those holding meaningful exposure to growth, AI and momentum, we believe Ariel Focused Value offers true diversification.
We buy what others are selling, and we see the greatest opportunity in the areas currently being shunned. As a result, our largest holdings trade at deep discounts to the broad market—Affiliated Managers Group at 9x earnings, PHINIA and BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF) at 13x. As Ben Graham taught, such discounts can take time to be recognized.
In our view, FactSet Research Systems (FDS), Inc. (FDS) is the clearest example of a business shunned for all the wrong reasons. While the market has branded it a casualty of artificial intelligence, we see the opposite. As one of FactSet’s own clients, we know firsthand how deeply its data is wired into our research and how costly it would be to change providers. As we build AI into our research, our spending is likely to rise, not fall. To this end, FactSet partners with the large language model providers rather than competing with them. We added to the position on weakness.
Our purchase and sale activity was modest during the quarter—one initiation and one exit. We purchased DENTSPLY Sirona (XRAY), Inc. (XRAY), the world’s largest maker of professional dental equipment, whose shares had been left for dead after years of disappointment. At $10.61 against our $26.26 estimate of its private market value, we are buying a global leader that is repairing itself—paying down debt, cutting costs and launching new products—while the market prices in permanent decline. We exited J.M. Smucker Co (SJM). (SJM), redeploying the proceeds toward more attractive opportunities. We added to Bio-Rad Laboratories (BIO), Inc. (BIO) on weakness during the quarter.
Looking Ahead
We entered 2026 cautiously given elevated market valuations. The second quarter only heightened that view. This year’s market gains have come almost entirely from rising earnings, not from investors paying more for them—yet the market’s forward price/earnings multiple still sits at a rich 20.3x. We continue to believe that higher inflation—driven by trillion-dollar deficits, tariffs and deglobalization—favors the hard assets and cash-generative businesses we own. The four-decade interest rate decline is behind us.
Despite the difficult second quarter, our year-to-date results remain positive. Concentration works against us in a narrow, momentum-led market like this one, but can also work powerfully in our favor when breadth returns and value is again rewarded. We have seen that pattern reassert itself many times over more than two decades. Patience is needed and is often rewarded.
We appreciate the opportunity to serve you and welcome any questions you might have.
Sincerely,
Charles K. BobrinskoyVice Chairman
References
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (10 June 2026) “Consumer Price Index News Release, ” Consumer Price Index News Release.
- S&P Dow Jones Indices (30 June 2026) “U.S. Index Dashboard, ” pp. 1.
- Kantrowitz, Michael, CFA, et al. (1 July 2026) “What in the World Happened to Markets in 2Q? ! ” Piper Sandler Portfolio Strategy & Macro Research, pp. 2, 5, 6, 21.
- Kantrowitz, Michael, CFA, et al. (1 July 2026) “What in the World Happened to Markets in 2Q? ! ” Piper Sandler Portfolio Strategy & Macro Research, pp. 5.
Editor’s Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.











