Ahead of last Monday’s Canadian election Adam posted on the risk for CAD – minority government:
That is also a risk for this weekend’s election in Australia. Polling is currently favouring the incumbent Prime Minister Albanese, but its very close. The very real risk is Albanese wins but only in minority, just like Carney this week. He will then form government with the support of Greens and/or independents and that always risks a more open wallet and a hit to fiscal irresponsibility, what little there is.
The other near term risk is we won’t get a clear result for many days after the election.
These could provide a setback for AUD, apart from the trade storms currently underway hitting Australia’s major trading partner, China.
PM Albanese and opposition leader Dutton
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