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Bastad 2026: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction & betting suggestions

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Andrey Rublev vs (3) Alejandro Tabilo

Date: July 18, 2026

Tournament: Nordea Open

Round: Semifinals

Venue: Bastad Tennis Stadium, Bastad, Sweden

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Clay

Prize Money: €612,620

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN+


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo preview

Andrey Rublev at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)Andrey Rublev at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)
Andrey Rublev at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)

Top seed Andrey Rublev will face Alejandro Tabilo in the semifinals of the Nordea Open 2026.

After a first-round bye, Rublev commenced his campaign with a 7-6 (3), 6-7 (7), 6-3 win over Andrea Pellegrino. He faced eighth seed Sebastian Baez in the quarterfinals. The Russian was in total control of the match from start to finish. He broke Baez‘s serve twice in each set to score a 6-1, 6-2 win.

Tabilo also received a first-round bye. He fought past qualifier Lautaro Midon in three sets in the second round to book his place in the quarterfinals. He was slated to face seventh seed Thiago Agustin Tirante for a place in the last four. Unfortunately, the latter was forced to withdraw from the tournament, thus giving Tabilo a walkover into the semifinals.


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo head-to-head

Their rivalry is tied at 1-1. Tabilo won their previous meeting at the Miami Open 2026 in three sets.


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo odds

Player Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Andrey Rublev -250 +1.5 (-700) Over 22.5 (-115)
Alejandro Tabilo +190 -1.5 (+375) Under 22.5 (-120)

(Odds via BetMGM)


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo prediction

Alejandro Tabilo at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)Alejandro Tabilo at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)
Alejandro Tabilo at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)

Neither Rublev nor Tabilo won a match during the grass swing. Both have now rebounded on clay this week, albeit Tabilo’s path to the semifinals required him to play only one match. Rublev has a 13-5 record on clay this season, while Tabilo has a 15-8 record.

Both made the fourth round of the French Open and finished as the runner-up at an ATP 500 tournament on the red dirt. Each player has a win in this match-up, although neither of their previous two matches were on clay.

Tabilo has a 0-3 record against top 20 players on clay this year. However, all three of those matches went the distance. While he could similarly challenge the 16th-ranked Rublev, his losing record against quality players makes him the underdog in this match-up.

Pick: Andrey Rublev to win in three sets.


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo betting tips

Tip 1: The match will have at least 26 games.

Tip 2: Rublev to win at least one set with a score of 6-4.