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Bessent in the end sees 'a number of hundred billion' per 12 months in tariff income

  • Expect we will be negotiating with China in person again
  • There is a Laffer Curve for tariffs
  • A lot of these non-tariff barriers are coming down
  • We don’t know where
  • Sees ‘several hundred billion’ per year in tariff revenue
  • my sense is that int he next several weeks we will have several large deals announced
  • Repeats that the EU has a collective-action problem
  • The German finance minister was very responsive
  • I think Merz will provide an opportunity for a US-German reset
  • All yields are up since the start of the year
  • The market could also be thinking the Congressional yield could create growth
  • Says he’s not concerned about USD weakening alongside higher yields
  • Other currencies are strengthening, rather than USD weakening

I don’t see much to get excited about here. If anything, the comments about a US-Germany reset are positive.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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