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Canada PPI for June 0.4% versus -0.1% estimate

  • Prior month -0.5%
  • PPI (IPPI) MOM 0.4% versus -0.1% estimate
  • PPI YoY or .7% versus 1.2% last month
  • Raw material prices MoM2.7% versus -0.7% prior (was -0.4%)
  • Raw material prices YoY or .1% versus -3.2% last month (was -2.8%).

Details from StatCan

IPPI rose 0.4% MoM in June.

  • Primary non-ferrous metal products rose +2.8%, driven by:

    • Unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals and alloys +5.9%

    • Unwrought platinum group metals and alloys +15.6% (largest MoM rise since Sept 2012)

    • Unwrought silver and silver alloys +8.4%

    • Boosted by tight platinum supply and rising jewelry demand

  • Meat, fish and dairy products increased +2.2%, led by:

    • Fresh/frozen chicken +6.7%

    • Fresh/frozen beef and veal +2.2%

    • Driven by seasonal summer demand and tight supply

  • Energy and petroleum products rose +1.1%, ending a 3-month decline streak:

    • Diesel fuel +3.6%, driven by crude oil +8.2%

    • Gasoline prices fell -2.0% due to resumed US refinery operations

  • Fruit, vegetables, feed and other food products up +1.2%, led by:

    • Canola/rapeseed oil +7.1%

    • Soybean oil +17.0%

    • Canola prices pushed higher by tight domestic supply and crop shifts

  • Offsetting declines in:

    • Primary ferrous metal products -2.4%

    • Electrical, electronic, AV & telecom products -1.7%

    • Motorized and recreational vehicles -0.3%

  • RMPI Increase: The RMPI rose 2.7% month-over-month in June, largely driven by a 6.8% surge in crude energy products. Excluding crude energy, the RMPI increased 0.8%.
  • Crude Energy Drivers:
  • Conventional crude oil prices jumped 8.2% due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
  • Synthetic crude oil prices rose 6.4% on similar grounds.
  • Despite easing tensions and expected production increases from OPEC+, prices remained higher than May.
  • Metal Ores and Scrap: Prices increased 1.4%, mainly due to a 10.3% rise in silver ores and concentrates, driven by industrial demand, supply deficits, and safe-haven investments amid US tariff concerns.
  • Animals and Animal Products: Prices grew 2.0%, the largest monthly increase since April 2024, driven by ¹:
  • Hogs: 7.9% increase due to strong domestic demand and a 24% year-over-year rise in pork exports.
  • Cattle and calves: 1.8% increase.

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This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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