
Fed’s Barkin: Even earlier than oil shock, progress on inflation was stalling
Prudent to hold interest rates steady and await more clarity on what the Fed should do next Pace and uncertainty…

Prudent to hold interest rates steady and await more clarity on what the Fed should do next Pace and uncertainty…

Prelim was 55.5 Prior was 56.6 Conditions 55.8 vs 57.8 prelim Expectations 51.7 vs 54.1 prelim 1-year inflation 3.8% vs…

Trump tried to calm down the markets and the situation in Iran by extending his ‘deadline’ to attack Iran’s energy…

Headlines: Markets: WTI crude oil up 3% to $97, Brent crude oil up 3% to $111 S&P 500 futures down…

ECB might not need to wait for fully visible second round effects before increasing rates Once energy prices have remained…

Rate hikes by year-end ECB: 85 bps (71% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) BoE: 81 bps (84%…

S&P 500 futures were up by around 0.7% earlier in the day on hopes of “peace” as US president Trump…

EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, the only highlight will be Spain’s CPI data, as it’s the first major Eurozone…

Using latest data, the estimate of the natural rate of interest is around -0.9% to +0.5% That estimate is as…

Summary: Trump pauses Iran energy strikes for 10 days, signalling diplomacy window Oil falls as immediate supply shock risk eases;…
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