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China Manufacturing PMI (August 2025) 49.4 (anticipated 49.5) Services 50.3 (anticipated 50.3)

These Chinese PMIs come from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP).

For August 2025:

Manufacturing PMI 49.4, a slight miss

  • expected 49.5, prior 49.3
  • this is the fifth consecutive month in contraction for the official manufacturing PMI
  • domestic demand remains disappointing

Non-Manufacturing PMI 50.3, in line with central estimates and a jump from July

  • expected 50.3, prior 50.1

Composite 50.5

Over the next few days we’ll get the ‘unofficial’ Caixin/S&P manufacturing (on Monday September 1) and non-manufacturing (on Wednesday September 3) PMIs for August.

more to come

Earlier big news:

The legal fight is not over (see the post) but perhaps China will just wait it out on tariffs.

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