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FOMC minutes May 2025: Well positioned to attend for extra readability on inflation/financial system

  • Well positioned to wait for more clarity on inflation/economy
  • Participants agreed that uncertainty about the outlook had increased and it was appropriate to take a cautious approach to monetary policy

  • Participants agreed that risk of higher inflation and higher unemployment had risen

  • Participants at the May 6–7 meeting agreed they were well positioned to wait for more clarity on the outlook

  • Participants agreed that risks of higher inflation and higher unemployment had risen

  • Participants agreed that uncertainty about the outlook had increased and it was appropriate to take a cautious approach to monetary policy

  • Almost all participants commented on the risk that inflation could prove more persistent than expected

  • Participants noted they may face “difficult tradeoffs” if inflation proved more persistent while outlooks for growth and employment weakened

  • Participants saw uncertainty about their economic outlooks as unusually elevated

  • Staff projection for 2025 and 2026 GDP growth was weaker than their estimate at the March meeting

  • Staff cited tariff policies as implying a larger drag on activity than policies they had assumed in their prior forecast

  • Committee voted to renew dollar and foreign currency swap lines

  • These participants noted that a durable shift in such correlations or a diminution of perceived safe-haven status of U.S. assets could have lasting implications for the economy

  • Some participants commented on changes in typical correlations across asset prices in the first half of April

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.

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