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FOMC preview – a 25% to 30% likelihood of the Fed signaling solely two charge cuts in 2024

Rick Rieder, chief funding officer of world fastened revenue and head of the worldwide allocation funding crew at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset supervisor, spoke in a phone interview with Dow Jones / Market Watch.

On the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assertion due later Wednesday:

  • “I still think Powell is going to suggest that they can still move, and give some sense that June is a likely time frame to start,”
  • Powell (is) … “so far from equilibrium,” or a normalized charge, after tightening financial coverage to battle inflation.
  • Projections for under two charge cuts in 2024 might result in a knee-jerk response of disappointment in markets, based on Rieder, who estimated a 25% to 30% likelihood of the Fed signaling such a forecast.
  • Rieder stated he is additionally holding “a keen eye” on what the abstract of financial projections will present concerning the longer-run fed-funds charge, which has been estimated at 2.5% in previous forecasts.

    “There is a reasonable chance that notches higher,” he stated, which might “signal higher interest rates for a longer period of time.”

Bolding above is mine.

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This text was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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