The French Open 2026 is starting to take shape even before the main draw begins, and the early odds already reflect a clear shift in the landscape. With Carlos Alcaraz out of the tournament due to injury, the spotlight has moved firmly onto Jannik Sinner, who now leads the men’s field as the outright favorite.
Sinner has backed that status with form. At the Madrid Open, he pushed into the semi-finals with a composed 6-2, 7-6(0) win over Rafael Jodar, saving multiple break points and finishing strong in the tiebreak. His consistency across the Masters events this season has only strengthened the belief that Roland Garros could be his moment, especially with the draw opening up.
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Moreover, Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic remain in the mix as experienced Grand Slam threats, even if they sit a tier below Sinner in the odds. Younger players like Arthur Fils are also gaining momentum on clay, adding depth to the draw.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has quietly put together a strong clay run, reaching the Monte Carlo semi-finals where he lost a tight match to Casper Ruud 6-4, 5-7, 6-3, showing he is still dangerous on slower courts. Holger Rune has also looked sharp, picking up a solid quarter-final win in Barcelona over Karen Khachanov 6-3, 6-4, before falling in three sets in the next round. Alex de Minaur has carried his improved clay movement into Madrid, where he beat Grigor Dimitrov 7-5, 6-2 in a clean performance.
The odds for the men’s draw of the 2026 French Open are as follows:
Disclaimer: The early odds are sourced from BetMGM and reflect current market positions, but they are subject to change based on the results in the lead-up to the tournament.
French Open 2026 women’s early favorites
Coco Gauff arrives at the French Open 2026 as the defending champion but with a turbulent build-up. She battled illness in Madrid and still came through a tough three-set match against Sorana Cirstea, winning 4-6, 7-5, 6-1 to reach the last 16. That resilience keeps her firmly among the top contenders despite recent physical struggles.
Meanwhile, Mirra Andreeva has surged into serious contention. The teenager reached the Madrid Open final with a straight-sets 6-4, 7-6(8) win over Hailey Baptiste, showing composure under pressure in the tiebreak. Her clay form has been building steadily, including a standout win over Iga Swiatek earlier in Stuttgart, where she came back 3-6, 6-4, 6-3.
Furthermore, Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek aim to continue their dominance, with both players consistently performing at the top level on clay. Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini are also names to watch after strong recent runs, while a deep field of contenders sits just behind the favorites.
Adding more depth to the field, Ons Jabeur has shown signs of returning to her best level, reaching the quarter-finals in Stuttgart with a straight sets win over Veronika Kudermetova 6-2, 6-4 before running into a tougher opponent in the next round. Maria Sakkari picked up a strong win in Madrid against Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, showing her physical edge in long rallies.
Danielle Collins has also carried momentum from earlier in the 2026 season, grinding through a three-set win over Ekaterina Alexandrova 4-6, 6-3, 6-4.
The odds for the women’s draw of the 2026 French Open are as follows:
Edited by Adityan Pillai
