Fundamental
Overview
Gold continues to lean on
the major trendline with the market remaining overall rangebound. The lower
than expected Core CPI and Core PPI figures didn’t give the expected boost,
which might be a signal that the focus could be on something else.
In the bigger picture, gold
should remain in an uptrend as real yields will likely continue to fall amid
Fed easing. But further hawkish repricing in rate cuts expectations could trigger
corrections in the short term.
Gold
Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Gold Daily
On the daily chart, we can
see that gold pulled back once again into the major upward trendline. This is where we can expect the
buyers to step in with a defined risk below the trendline to position for a
rally into the 3438 resistance. The sellers, on the other hand,
will look for a break lower to increase the bearish bets into the 3120 level
next.
Gold Technical Analysis
– 4 hour Timeframe
Gold 4 hour
On the 4 hour chart, we can
see that we have another minor trendline by connecting the recent swing lows.
We could see a move into it before a bounce, so the buyers should be aware of
that. The sellers will likely need to break below the minor trendline to
confirm a move into new lows.
Gold Technical Analysis
– 1 hour Timeframe
Gold 1 hour
On the 1 hour chart, there’s
not much else we can add here as the buyers will look for dip-buying
opportunities around the trendlines, while the sellers will target breakouts. The
red lines define the average daily range for today.
Upcoming
Catalysts
Today we get the latest US Jobless Claims
and Retail Sales figures. Tomorrow, we conclude the week with the University of
Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey.
Watch the video below
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