MLB Pitcher Props Today: Best Bets for Cam Schlittler, Aaron Nola and More

We’ve got a full Wednesday of baseball, let’s try something a little different today!

All starting pitcher props, with a bonus MLB Pick.

Season Record 24-19-1, +2.52 Units

Cam Schlittler Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-168 DraftKings)

The young Yankee fireballer has moved himself firmly into the Cy Young conversation. So firmly in fact that he’s the betting favorite right now at +175 on DraftKings. He faces a Blue Jays team that is the toughest in the league to whiff with an 18.5% K%.

On the flip side, they also have the second lowest walk rate at 7.7%. This all plays into Schlittler’s favor in terms of going deeper into the game, but not sure he needs all that much help. He’s gone an average of exactly 6 IP per start and he carries a 30.1% K%, so he’s getting there despite strikeouts ostensibly requiring extra pitches. What’s more, he’s trending longer as he’s gone at 6 IP in 5 of his last 6 starts, and in the sixth start he came just one out short.

There’s some BABIP risk as well as the chance the Yankees mediocre defense comes into play, but I’ll roll with the ace.

Emerson Hancock Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-107 DraftKings)

I unsuccessfully backed Hancock in his last start, but I went with the team F5. My mistake! He pitched great, his offense laid an egg. So let’s take that out of the equation and just roll with the outs prop here too. It’s a little trickier in that the White Sox do K a lot (24%) and also take their walks (10%). A lot of both is thanks to Munetaka Murakami, which is Japanese for “Three True Outcomes” as he has a K% of 32.5%, a BB% or 18.2% while clubbing 17 homers. Colson Montgomery at 29.7%, 9.4% and 13 homers is not far behind. Fortunately for Hancock, he has the most pitcher friendly stadium behind him, so some of those bombs might turn into long flyouts.

Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-110 DraftKings)

I’m going on a hunch here, Aaron Nola is a super tricky pitcher to game out if you’ve ever rostered him in Fantasy baseball. He can shove, or he can walk the world, or pitch de facto batting practice. He’s coming off two sub 5 IP outings with 6 K’s total, but the start before that he shut out the Marlins for 6 IP with 5 K’s. The Reds are the fifth easiest team to strike out at 23.9%. It’s a low bar and Nola has 16 K’s in his three home starts, so I’ll bank that he gets to his number.