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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction & betting ideas

Match Details

Fixture: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Date: May 29, 2026

Tournament: French Open

Round: Third Round (Round of 32)

Venue: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Clay

Prize Money: €61,723,000

Live Telecast: USA – TNT, HBO Max, TruTV | UK – TNT Sports | Canada – TSN, RDS


Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante preview

Pablo Carreno Busta at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)Pablo Carreno Busta at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)
Pablo Carreno Busta at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)

Former top 10 player Pablo Carreno Busta will square off against Thiago Agustin Tirante in the third round of the French Open 2026.

Carreno Busta upset 12th seed Jiri Lehecka 6-3, 7-6 (3), 6-3 to reach the second round, where Thanasi Kokkinakis awaited him. The pair split the first couple of sets to remain on even terms. Unfortunately, Kokkinakis couldn’t continue after that, opting to retire after playing one game in the third set, thus paving the way for Carreno Busta to advance to the next round.

Tirante scored a four-set win over Pablo Llamas Ruiz to set up a second-round date with 21st seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Tirante found himself on the backfoot in the first set after falling behind 1-5. He put up a fight with a three-game run but still lost the set.

The second set almost slipped out of Tirante’s grasp as well. However, he stopped Davidovich Fokina from serving out the set in the 10th game, and eventually came out on top in the tie-break to take the set. Tirante dropped only one game to capture the third set in a rush. He carried this momentum into the fourth set, capitalizing on a single break of serve to register a 4-6, 7-6 (4), 6-1, 6-3 win.


Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante head-to-head

This will be the first main draw meeting between them, so the head-to-head currently stands at 0-0.


Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante odds

Player Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Pablo Carreno Busta +190 -1.5 (+290) Over 37.5 (-125)
Thiago Agustin Tirante -250 +1.5 (-500) Under 37.5 (-115)

(Odds via BetMGM)


Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante prediction

Thiago Agustin Tirante at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)Thiago Agustin Tirante at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)
Thiago Agustin Tirante at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)

Kokkinakis’ misfortune proved to be Carreno Busta’s gain, who’s into the third round of a Major for the first time since the US Open 2022. He improved his record on clay this season to 3-2 on the main tour. He won a Challenger title on clay in March, and finished as the runner-up at another Challenger event as well. He’s a two-time quarterfinalist in Paris.

Tirante has made the third round of a Major for the first time. He has 13-6 record on clay this season, with a semifinal finish in Houston being the highlight. He also beat World No. 9 Ben Shelton on clay a month ago, and has two more top 20 wins on the red dirt this year.

Carreno Busta’s experience in making the second week of the French Open could prove to be crucial here. However, Tirante has outperformed the Spaniard throughout the clay swing. Unless nerves get the better of him, he should be able to handle whatever Carreno Busta throws at him.

Pick: Thiago Agustin Tirante to win in four sets.


Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante betting tips

Tip 1: The match will have at least 38 games.

Tip 2: Tirante to win at least one set with a score of 6-4.