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Polls and betting markets present a detailed race for President once more

Reuters is out with a new poll of the Presidential election that has Harris leading 43% to 42% over Trump. It’s similar to others that now show a tight race. Betting markets also show a close race.

Harris is in a honeymoon period as Republicans re-frame their attacks and Democrats shake off the Biden rust.

I continue to emphasize the importance of the House race as well. Biden’s poor showing had threatened to kill Democrat’s chances at getting the House but the bleeding has stopped.

I think the takeaway for right now (with the election still three months away) is to treat it mostly as noise and focus on the economy and Fed.

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