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Reddit at $5B appears eminently cheap

The collapse of Amazon’s proposed deal to buy iRobot highlights simply how essential the IPO market is that this 12 months. With governments tightening the screws on massive tech firms attempting to purchase smaller corporations, a key exit avenue might be closed to startups within the close to time period.


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If mergers and acquisitions are tougher to tug off, particularly for giant tech firms that generally desire to purchase new tech over constructing it, unicorns and different late-stage startups may have treasured few paths to liquidity obtainable to them other than going public. That truth makes Reddit feeling out its personal IPO valuation all of the extra vital. What may assist tech firms keep away from one other 2023 (a 12 months that had treasured few public debuts) is a large, profitable public providing.

To perform that, Reddit wants to cost its providing very fastidiously. Too low a value, and any constructive buying and selling outcomes that comply with might be marked as extra synthetic than materials. Too excessive, and the inventory may lose floor from its IPO value.

However non-public tech firms need good IPO information that sticks, and public market buyers received’t achieve confidence if Reddit clears a bar that it set too low. Nevertheless, if the value is simply too excessive, Reddit’s post-IPO efficiency could scare firms off if it may’t sustain. We noticed final 12 months how a lot post-IPO buying and selling efficiency can influence different firms’ choices to go public — when Instacart failed to carry on to features after pricing at $30 per share, different tech firms took notice. As we speak, Instacart is value just a little greater than $25 per share.

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