The leaks have began and that nearly at all times is a superb indicator about an impending shift in U.S. overseas coverage. On this case it considerations Syria, Iraq, Iran and Turkey. America has been engaged in a decade lengthy army journey in Syria. It began out in 2014 as an ostensible mission by particular ops forces to search out, repair and end ISIS (that’s army converse for killing the “terrorists”), however it advanced into an rebel assist operation to help the Kurds of their battles in opposition to Syria and Turkey. Oh yeah. Nearly forgot. The U.S. army personnel main mission was to guard the Conoco oil facility on Kurdish territory. It’s all concerning the oil. Seems to be like there’s a change on the horizon.
One of many U.S. army contractors employed as a social media influencer, OSINTdefender, posted the next right this moment:
This coincided with a Overseas Coverage piece by Charles Lister, who’s frantically waving the the persevering with risk of ISIS (they’re like zombies, can’t eradicate them) in a determined plea to remain in place in Syria. He notes that the Hamas Oct 7 assault in Israel has modified the Middle East calculus:
it mustn’t come as a shock that the Biden administration is reconsidering its army priorities within the area.
It must be trigger for important concern, nonetheless, that this might contain a full withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria. Whereas no definitive choice has been made to depart, 4 sources inside the Protection and State departments stated the White Home is not invested in sustaining a mission that it perceives as pointless. Energetic inside discussions are actually underway to find out how and when a withdrawal could happen.
However the catastrophic impact {that a} withdrawal would have on U.S. and allied affect over the unresolved and acutely unstable disaster in Syria, it could even be a present to the Islamic State. Whereas considerably weakened, the group is in actual fact primed for a resurgence in Syria, if given the house to take action.
That is complete bullshit. ISIS will not be primed to do something. ISIS is an excuse for preserving U.S. forces in a spot.
Waving the Islamic State boogeyman in entrance of the American viewers is based on the ignorance of the American public. Islamic State of us need to overthrow Bashir Assad. So can we. Islamic State fanatics hate Iran and Iran want to destroy them. So I suppose that makes us allies of the Islamic State extremists in terms of hating Iran. Who the hell are we pretending to combat? That’s the drawback behind permitting the U.S. army presence in Syria to proceed. We’re illegally occupying Syrian territory.
U.S. and Israeli assaults on Hezbollah and IRGC targets over the previous month have sparked a relentless barrage of drones, rockets and ballistic missiles on the U.S. outposts in Syria and northern Iraq. The Commander of CENTCOM and the Joint Chiefs of Workers now notice this isn’t a sustainable mission. At a minimal the 900 U.S. troopers manning these Middel East variations of Fort Apache, are targets ready for a missile strike. If america decides to launch a direct assault on Iran, which suggests inside Iran, then the survivability of those bases/outposts are in query.
I don’t low cost the likelihood that the choice to shut down these bases may very well be in anticipation of an eventual U.S. army strike on Iran. However I believe it’s a real effort to scale back the profile when these troopers aren’t finishing up a crucial, important mission. And there’s something else driving the choice.
Workers officers in U.S. Central Command and U.S. Indopacom Command are watching an enormous political battle unfold pitting CENTCOM’s Air Pressure part, CENTAF, in opposition to INDOPACOM’s Air Pressure counterpart, PACAF.
The phrase of the day is “Great Power Competition.” It’s the new hotness, the highest difficulty, and it’s all China, China, China. The 4 star generals within the respective theater instructions are duking it out over realigning forces. INDOPACOM desires as many air belongings as potential on the desk to be ready to combat China. CENTCOM is insisting it completely wants the plane and re-fuelers to be able to cease the Houthis from shuttering Israel’s ports. Phrase is that INDOPACOM has the higher hand.
It’s the extra Cow Bell technique. When you assume that wars in Ukraine, Gaza and Yemen, with a possible blow up on the Iran entrance, are ample to maintain the Protection institution completely satisfied, you might be lifeless ass incorrect. We’d like extra Cow Bell.
I additionally assume it’s time for Nation Joe and the Fish to replace the lyrics from Vietnam to China. It has been 55 years. Extra Cow Bell.
