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UBS says its much more satisfied Gen AI will increase productiveness. Raises fairness forecast.

UBS jacked up their forecast for the MSCI All-Country World Equity Index year-end forecast from 800 to 830. Analysts at UBS cite if generative AI raises productivity growth.

  • “We have become even more convinced Gen AI will boost productivity and highlight further strong evidence of the benefits of automation, efficiency, personalization and creativity uses of Gen AI”
  • If productivity growth is 1% higher “then, the potential upside on the ERP model is 17%, as 1% off unit labor costs adds 9% to profits; U.S. unit labor costs would be running at 0.5% to 1%, and thus the Fed could cut very aggressively if growth slowed below trend; and it would confirm that full employment is much lower than 4.1%.”

Info via UBS’ Global Equity Strategy report.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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