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US December PCE core inflation 2.9% y/y vs 3.0% anticipated

PCE core y/y

  • Prior was +3.2%
  • PCE core m/m +0.2% vs +0.2% anticipated
  • Prior m/m core +0.1%
  • Headline PCE +2.6% vs +2.6% anticipated (prior +2.6%)
  • Deflator m/m +0.2% vs +0.2% anticipated (prior -0.1%)
  • Full report

Shopper spending and revenue for December:

  • Private revenue +0.3% vs +0.3% anticipated. Prior month +0.4%
  • Private spending +0.7% vs +0.4% anticipated. Prior month +0.2% (revised to +0.4%)
  • Actual private spending +0.5% vs +0.3% prior (revised to +0.5%)

The delicate headline inflation quantity in yesterday’s GDP information led to broad hypothesis a couple of draw back miss on December headline PCE. Nevertheless it was the core the place there was a slight miss.

One spot the Fed watches intently is PCE providers ex-energy and housing. It rose 0.3% m/m in comparison with 0.1% prior and that would assist to carry the greenback. Treasury yields have ticked as much as session highs within the aftermath however solely up 1-2 bps for the reason that launch.

Three-month and six-month annualized core and headline PCE at the moment are each under the Fed goal.

  • Items costs -0.2% m/m
  • Companies costs +0.3% m/m
  • Actual private spending up 3.2% y/y
  • Companies inflation 3.9% y/y vs 4.1% prior

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