The market response to non-farm payrolls is not as unhealthy as many feared. A few of that’s the market taking-back the Israel-Iran fears yesterday however there’s additionally a altering undercurrent about the true supply of US jobs progress up to now 12 months.
Jason Furman, Obama’s former chair of the Council of Financial Advisers wrote this after the report.
The financial system has usually been including jobs at a 300K/month clip for a number of years now. On the identical time the unemployment charge has been flat (or perhaps a little up over the past 12 months). Suggests this may very well be the steady-state tempo of job progress, as a result of fast immigration.
That is an increasingly-consensus view and one thing I highlighted as a mitigating issue earlier than the report.
S&P 500 futures have come down by about 10 factors for the reason that information however are nonetheless up 10 factors, or 0.2%. Nasdaq futures are up 0.3%.
I will probably be watching to see if the Israel-Iran story pops up once more at the moment and if there are weekend jitters round that. Oil actually hasn’t given up yesterday’s positive factors.