Here is the state of play after Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole in equity markets:
- S&P 500 up 1.3%
- Nasdaq Comp up 1.8%
- Russell 2000 up 2.2%
- DJIA +1.0%
There is some resistance in the S&P 500 right now as it challenges yesterday’s opening high. If that doesn’t crack, then watch out for profit taking despite a dovish speech.
You can argue that markets did sniff out much of this with gains in 9 of 11 days leading up to the speech. That said, there is going to be more dip buying with a Fed put in place.
Fed pricing is now 32% for 50 bps from 25% prior to the speech.