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Why bonds are ripping greater and the greenback is being pulled decrease

US 10-year yields are actually down 14 foundation factors on the day to three.82% and the US greenback is slumping.

US 10 12 months yields day by day

I wrote about this earlier however the strikes have prolonged and it is seeping into FX with the greenback on the lows of the day.

The market is more and more nervous about US regional banks and losses tied to business actual property, particularly workplace buildings. It is an issue that is been lurking within the shadows due to the lengthy timelines on workplace leases however banks could also be taking extra writedowns this quarter and we have already seen one reduce its dividend.

The KRE regional banking index is down 5.5% immediately and 9% previously two days.

Mockingly, yesterday the FOMC eliminated the road within the assertion that stated: “The US banking system is sound and resilient”. That was undoubtedly just a few housekeeping however it could finally show to be poetic.

I might additionally spotlight that there some good causes to be shopping for some draw back safety right here, or betting on greater volatility.

  1. Nasdaq February seasonals are the weakest of the 12 months
  2. The earnings reactions to MSFT and GOOG weren’t precisely inspiring
  3. The Purple Sea and battle issues are tail dangers
  4. The Fed is not in a rush to chop and we noticed yesterday what equities considered that
  5. Bonds are attempting to inform us one thing

VIX day by day chart

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