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Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction, & betting suggestions

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin

Date: September 28, 2026

Tournament: Hangzhou Open

Round: Semifinal

Venue: Hangzhou Olympic Sports Expo Center, Hangzhou, China

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $1,039,090

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN Premium


Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin preview

Daniil Medvedev will face fellow Russian Roman Safiullin in the Hangzhou Open semifinals on Monday, with the top seed continuing his push for his third title of the 2026 season.

Medvedev reached the last four after beating Coleman Wong 6-3, 6-7(2), 6-3 in the quarterfinals, having also defeated Valentin Royer in straight sets in his opening match. The former World No. 1 has looked increasingly comfortable on Hangzhou’s fast hard courts, particularly behind his serve and from the baseline.

Safiullin, meanwhile, has reached his first ATP semifinal of the season after putting together three consecutive wins in Hangzhou. The 29-year-old followed his comeback win over Quentin Halys with a convincing 6-3, 6-3 victory over Yunchaokete Bu in the quarterfinals. Safiullin’s aggressive baseline game and ability to generate pace could make this a difficult test for Medvedev, but he will have to find a way through the top seed’s deep return position and consistency in extended rallies.


Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin head-to-head

The two players have never met before, so their current head-to-head record stands at 0-0.


Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin odds

Player Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Daniil Medvedev -250 -2.5 (-145) Over 22.5 (-130)
Roman Safiullin +190 +2.5 (+100) Under 22.5 (-110)

(Odds via BetMGM)


Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin prediction

Medvedev should have the advantage if he can drag Safiullin into longer baseline exchanges. Safiullin has the heavier attacking game and can take the ball early to rush his opponent, but Medvedev’s depth, court coverage and ability to redirect pace make it difficult to hit through him consistently. The Russian can also use his return to put Safiullin under pressure from the start of service games.

Safiullin’s best chance will be to keep points short and attack before Medvedev settles into his rhythm. His first serve and aggressive forehand can put Medvedev on the defensive, particularly if he finds a high percentage of first serves. But maintaining that level of aggression against one of the tour’s best defenders for an entire match is a major challenge.

The match could come down to Safiullin’s ability to protect his service games and avoid giving Medvedev too many chances to turn rallies into physical battles. Medvedev’s consistency and experience in these situations should eventually give him enough control to edge through a competitive semifinal.

Pick: Medvedev to win in three sets.


Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin betting tips

Tip 1: The match will have at least 25 games.

Tip 2: There will be at least one tie-break.